Wikistrat

💡 Every Russian move that NATO leaves unanswered makes the next response harder, and the eventual confrontation more expensive.

Last week we hosted Keir Giles (Chatham House) to assess which of NATO's lines Russia has actually approached, what conditions would have to hold before Moscow crossed one, and where the alliance is least prepared to notice.

🔗 Full recording & key insights in the comments 👇

💡 Saudi Arabia's allies in Yemen have suffered a string of recent defeats. What are Riyadh's options now, and what does the outcome mean for the wider Gulf?

Join us tomorrow (Wednesday) for a special webinar and Q&A with Dr. Cinzia Bianco (European Council on Foreign Relations) to assess the implications.

Register now 👇

💡 Will Putin Cross the NATO Line?

Join us on Wednesday for a special webinar and Q&A with leading Russia expert Keir Giles (Chatham House) to assess where the war in Ukraine stands and the risk of spillover across the alliance's borders.

Register now 👇

💡 In Tehran, the hijab has become optional for most women, restaurants quietly serve alcohol patrons bring themselves, and statues of Iran's pre-Islamic kings are appearing in public squares. Political executions, meanwhile, run at close to a weekly pace.

For the security establishment, the give on social life buys room for a tighter hold on power.

Last week we hosted Dr. Sina Azodi (Elliott School of International Affairs) to assess what the new US-Iran MOU really puts on paper, where the nuclear question stands, and how a regime that survived the war came out of it more confident than before.

🔗 Full recording & key insights in the comments 👇

🌍 In December 2026, Iran's clerical regime has collapsed, the Abraham 2.0 Initiative is on the table, and five delegations have one week to agree on what the Middle East looks like next.

That was the scenario 15 students from אוניברסיטת רייכמן - Reichman University and KIMEP University stepped into last week in our latest educational simulation.

It was also the first simulation to run on our newly upgraded platform.

Representing Israel, Saudi Arabia, the EU, the PA, and the USA, they worked through:

🔹 The regional security architecture of the Abraham 2.0 Initiative

🔹 Palestinian statehood demands and the gaps between delegations

🔹 Sanctions frameworks tied to post-regime Iran

🔹 An $80 billion EU investment package as the economic anchor

💡 The war was supposed to dismantle Iran's nuclear program. It paused with Iran's 400 kg of 60% enriched uranium still intact, a tighter grip on the Strait of Hormuz, and a regime more confident than before.

Yesterday we hosted Dr. Sina Azodi (Elliott School of International Affairs) to assess what the new US-Iran MOU actually establishes, and whether Tehran goes nuclear.

🔗 Full recording & key insights in the comments 👇

Join us tomorrow (Wednesday) for a special webinar and Q&A with renowned Iran expert Dr. Sina Azodi (Elliott School of International Affairs) to analyze why Washington and Tehran are both claiming victory, and what the US-Iran deal actually delivers for the Middle East.

Register now 👇

Last night, while the missiles were still in the air, Wikistrat assembled a panel of seven senior Iran experts to assess Tehran's new doctrine of fusing Lebanon and Iran into a single battlespace, its test of the Trump-Netanyahu gap, the escalation ladder, and the 48-hour indicators that will define the rest of the year.

👇 Full report in the comments

💡Putin is weaker, but the system holding him up is stronger.

So what would actually end his rule?

In a new report, eight leading Russia experts map where Putin's authority is fraying, the effects of the war in Ukraine on the regime, and what the next 12 months are likely to reshape.

Full report in the comments 👇

Four days ago, 11 senior Iran specialists mapped where Tehran would actually bend. Today, Iran tabled a three-phase framework that lines up almost exactly with that map.

✔️ Tehran's phases are ceasefire, Hormuz, then nuclear.

❌ Missiles and proxies aren't on the table at all, which is exactly where our panel placed them: the two files Iran will not trade.

As one finding from the report put it bluntly: "Missile demands are the single most reliable path to collapsing the talks."

The shape of a possible deal is visible, and it's narrower than the American opening position.

Full report in the comments 👇